 Instructor: Ilie Grigorescu
 Office:
Ungar 441
 Phone: (305) 2842146
 email:
igrigore@math.miami.edu
 Home page:
http://www.math.miami.edu/~igrigore
 can be accessed
directly from Blackboard
 Office Hours: TBA. Also by appointment.
 Class Hours: MWF 1:252:15 in Dooly Memorial building 218
Text:
Probability and Statistical Inference
Hogg, Robert V.; Tanis, Elliot A.; Zimmerman, Dale.
2014 Pearson, ninth edition.
ISBN13: 9780321923271, ISBN10: 0321923278
Description: The course is viewed as an
introduction to probability
(Chapters 15)
and statistics (Chapter 7).
Prerequisites:
(i) Calculus I (MTH171) or equivalent and (ii) credit or
concurrent registration in Calculus II (MTH172, MTH162).
 General rules:
 All tests are closed book and closed notebook
 Electronic devices are not allowed during exams
 Scientific calculators are allowed.
 One page, one sided letter size formula sheet allowed
 Tables (usually the Normal table) will be provided.
 You must show your work in order to obtain credit
 Material covered in class is included even when
not present in the textbook.
 you cannot graduate the class without the final.

Grading and Exams:
New Grading Policy
Due to hurricane Irma, classes will continue until 12/20.
 Homework  30% of the grade
 Two in class midterm exams (30% each) and one takehome assignment (10%).
 The first midterm TBA (within 4 weeks). The second midterm will be given before 12/14
 The takehome assignment will be due on 12/21 and will cover material taught
after the second midterm. This assignment represents approximately
150 minutes of class work.
 The policy of dropping the lowest grade will be replaced by: the last takehome assignment
will be ignored if it lowers your grade in homework and midterms;
if it improves your grade it will be counted in your favor.
Old Grading Policy
 Semester work (60%) based on the average
of the best two of the following three items:
Homework (20%), two in class Midterm exams (20% each)
 The Final (40%) is comprehensive.
 The homework will be assigned by Blackboard announcement/email
 Grade scale, on a curve depending on the overall
performance of the class:
A, A: 90100; B, B+: 8089; B: 7079;
C, C+: 6069; C: 5059; D, F: 049
This page will be updated

Section 1.1: 2, 4, 6, 12, 13.
Lecture 1
.
Random Number Table

Section 1.2: 9, 10, 12, 13, 17.
Hints and solutions on Section 1.2.
Number of samples of k objects out of n

Section 1.3: 3, 7, 11, 12, 16.
Problem 12 in 1.3

Section 1.4: 2, 3, 5, 9, 14, 15, 16.
Problem 15 in 1.4
Problem 16 in 1.4
Note on Example 1.45

Section 1.5: 3, 5, 8, 9, 14.

Section 2.1: 3, 7, 10, 14.

Section 2.2: 3, 9, 10,11.

Section 2.3: 1, 3, 4, 8, 12 (see 1.3 11).

Section 2.4: 4, 6, 9, 10, 15.
 Midterm 1: TBA in class.
Covers: 1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 1.4, 1.5, 2.1, 2.2, 2.3, 2.4
 Review:
Sample exam 1,
Sample exam 2
In exam 2 replace problem 4 with a problem like 2.3  1,2,3.
Solutions Midterm 1  sent by Blackboard email

Section 2.3: 11, 16*, 17, 18*, 19.
Section 2.3 are revisited because the questions
involve the negative binomial distribution from Section 2.5.

Section 2.4: 20*.
Section 2.3 are revisited because the questions
involve the negative binomial distribution from Section 2.5.

Section 2.5: 1, 5*, 6*, 8, 9.

Section 2.6: 3, 5, 6*, 8, 9*, 11.

Section 3.1: 7, 8*, 9, 14*, 16, 20*.

Section 3.2: 2, 3*, 6, 11, 13*, 14*, 24*.

Section 3.3: 1, 2*, 5, 6*, 7, 8*, 10*, 11, 15*.

Midterm 2: week after Thanksgiving
Covers 2.4, 2.5, 2.6, 3.1, 3.2, 3.3
Important: you will have to do 5 problems
(out of 6) for full credit.

Review material:
 Homework
 The Gamma distribution and the Chisquare table, as well as the Poisson process are included.
See Example 3.24, 3.25 and 3.26 in Textbook.
 Review problems with solutions;
Additional solutions.
Last homework and take home test
Homework: due 12/21
Section 5.5: 7, 9, 10.
Section 5.6: 6, 8.
Section 5.7: 1, 5, 8, 12, 13.
Take home test: will be handed out on Monday 12/18 in class and due Wednesday 12/20 in class.

Notes on material after Midterm 2.
Note: In Section 5.5, only Thm 5.51 up to Example 5.52 are covered.
Lecture notes on the Central Limit Theorem.
Lecture notes on the half point correction.
Lecture notes on Chapter 5.
Solutions for the exercises in Lecture notes.

Not covered this semester

Section 5.3:
6, 10, 12.

Section 7.1: 2, 5, 4.

Section 7.3: 2 a, 3, 4, 6.
Lecture Notes on Chapter 7
Confidence Intervals

Quiz
Covers Sections 5.5, 5.6, 5.7 (To be updated)